US, Iran Discuss 45-Day Truce as Haifa, UAE Hit in Fresh Attacks

Diplomatic push intensifies to end 38-day war as Tehran rejects Trump’s ‘Tuesday night’ deadline; over 10 sites targeted in northern Israel

As the US-Israel versus Iran war entered its 38th day, American and Iranian officials, along with regional mediators, are locked in urgent discussions over a potential 45-day ceasefire that could pave the way for a permanent end to hostilities, according to sources familiar with the talks[reference:0].

Mediators Race Against Time

The last-ditch diplomatic effort comes as US President Donald Trump extended his deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by 20 hours, setting a new Tuesday night 8pm ET deadline. 

“There is a good chance, but if they don’t make a deal, I am blowing up everything over there,” Trump told Axios, threatening to destroy Iranian power plants and bridges. 

The negotiations are being conducted through Pakistani, Egyptian and Turkish mediators, as well as via text messages between Trump’s envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. 

Fresh Missile Barrage Hits Haifa

Even as talks progressed, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks on northern Israel, striking more than 10 sites in Haifa. 

According to Israeli authorities, an Iranian ballistic missile hit a residential building in the port city, leaving at least two people dead and two others missing. Emergency teams continue search operations under rubble. 

“We are focusing all efforts on the four family members who are supposed to be here, using all means at our disposal,” Israel Police Commissioner Danny Levy told reporters at the scene. 

Four others were hospitalised with smoke inhalation, including two five-year-old girls, Magen David Adom confirmed. 

Drone Attack Targets UAE Telecom Facility

In a significant escalation, an Iranian drone struck a building belonging to telecommunications company Du in Fujairah, on the UAE’s eastern coast, on Monday. 

The state-run WAM news agency reported no injuries, but authorities confirmed the drone originated from Iran. 

Separately, falling debris from an intercepted projectile in Abu Dhabi left a Ghanaian national moderately injured, officials said. 

Tehran Rejects Ultimatum

Iranian officials have firmly rejected Trump’s deadline, warning they will not negotiate under pressure. 

Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ismail Baghaei said the Iranian military is fully prepared for any potential attack, adding that in a retaliatory response, “all bases belonging to the US or those assisting it in any way would be targeted.” 

Former Iranian foreign minister Javad Zarif condemned Trump’s “vulgar outburst” and warned that attacking civilian infrastructure would constitute war crimes under the Rome Statute. 

Global Energy Crisis Deepens

The near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz – through which roughly one-fifth of global oil shipments pass – has triggered soaring energy prices and fuel shortages worldwide. 

Brent crude topped $110 a barrel on Monday, while US benchmark West Texas Intermediate rose nearly two percent to $113.62. 

India-flagged vessel Green Asha successfully transited the strait on Monday, marking the ninth Indian ship to navigate the corridor since the war began on 28 February. Air India has suspended flights on the New Delhi-Tel Aviv route till 31 May.

What Next

Diplomatic sources say the chances of reaching a partial deal in the next 48 hours remain slim. 

Mediators are pushing for a two-phased agreement: an initial 45-day ceasefire during which a permanent end to the war would be negotiated, with the possibility of extension. However, Tehran has made clear it does not want a temporary truce like Gaza or Lebanon, where hostilities can resume at will. 

As Trump’s deadline ticks closer, the region braces for either a breakthrough – or a dramatic and destructive escalation.

The Son Inherits the War His Father Could Not Finish

On February 28, 2026, a US-Israeli airstrike in Tehran killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, several of his family members, and with them, the assumption that decapitating Iran's leadership would end the conflict. It did not. Within days, Mojtaba Khamenei — Khamenei's second son — was elected on March 8, 2026 to replace his father as Iran's new Supreme Leader, with the IRGC and Iran's top leaders including Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Ali Larijani and Masoud Pezeshkian pledging their allegiance to him. Wikipedia

His first public acts have been anything but conciliatory. In his first statement as Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei called on Iranians to remain united, urged people to attend Quds Day events, and stressed that Iran would avenge those killed in the attacks — including his father. That language signals a leadership preparing its population for a conflict that may last considerably longer than anyone initially anticipated. News9live

The Aircraft Carrier Battle: Claims, Counter-Claims and What Is Verified

The most dramatic flashpoint of the past 24 hours has been the competing narratives around Iran's attacks on US aircraft carriers — the centrepiece of the Hindustan Times report.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards stated that the USS Abraham Lincoln was struck by four ballistic missiles, warning that "the land and sea will increasingly become the graveyard of the terrorist aggressors." Asianet Newsable

The US response was blunt. CENTCOM flatly denied the claim, stating: "The Lincoln was not hit. The missiles launched didn't even come close." It added that the Lincoln continues to launch aircraft in support of CENTCOM's campaign to eliminate threats from the Iranian regime. The Free Press Journal

Iran has repeatedly claimed it hit the Lincoln with ballistic missiles — something CENTCOM has called a "LIE" in a social media post. US video released to media continues to show F/A-18 and F-35 fighters taking off and landing on the Lincoln, suggesting the carrier remains fully operational. Amar Ujala

Iran's navy separately said it fired a coast-to-sea missile at the USS Abraham Lincoln in the Gulf region. The announcement followed a claim by Iran on Thursday that drones had struck the carrier — an assertion also quickly rejected by US officials who said there was no evidence the vessel was hit. Dainikjagranmpcg

The pattern is clear: Iran is conducting information warfare alongside its military campaign, claiming carrier strikes that the US denies and cannot independently verify either way given the fog of active conflict.

What Is Confirmed: The Scale of Operation Epic Fury

While the carrier strike claims remain disputed, the confirmed facts of the war paint a picture of extraordinary military intensity on both sides.

US Central Command Commander Admiral Brad Cooper confirmed that US forces have struck nearly 2,000 targets with more than 2,000 munitions, severely degrading Iran's air defences and destroying hundreds of Iranian ballistic missiles, launchers and drones. The US has also taken out more than 60 Iranian ships — including the last of four Soleimani-class warships, eliminating an entire class of Iranian naval vessels from the conflict. ThePrint

US forces sank an Iranian warship in the Indian Ocean using a single MK 48 torpedo from a fast-attack submarine — the first such action since World War II, confirmed by Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chiefs Chairman General Dan Caine. LatestLY

By March 5, Iran had fired over 500 ballistic and naval missiles and nearly 2,000 drones since February 28 — with approximately 40 per cent aimed at Israel and 60 per cent targeting US assets across the region. Wikipedia

Two US aircraft carrier strike groups remain in the region: USS Abraham Lincoln in the Arabian Sea and USS Gerald R. Ford in the Mediterranean off Israel's coast, supported by more than 150 aircraft and dozens of warships. Deccan Chronicle

The Wider War: Nine Countries, Tanker Attacks, Dubai Explosions

Iran has widened the map of the conflict, launching strikes across nine countries. Missiles and drones have hit US military presence and civilian infrastructure in all Gulf states including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Oman and the United Arab Emirates. DNP INDIA

Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency posted video showing an apparent missile strike on a US-owned tanker — the Safesea Vishnu, a crude oil tanker sailing under a Marshall Islands flag — in the far northern Gulf near the Iraqi coast. The vessel was seen engulfed in flames as people aboard the IRGC attack boat were heard celebrating. News9live

Explosions were also heard in downtown Dubai. The UAE government media office reported a "minor drone incident" in the al-Badaa neighbourhood — interception fire downed a drone and shrapnel hit the facade of a building on Sheikh Zayed Road, the 12-lane highway running through the heart of Dubai. Kuwait International Airport was also targeted by drones, resulting in material damage. News9live

The Strait of Hormuz: Global Energy in the Crosshairs

The conflict's most consequential economic dimension remains the Strait of Hormuz — and Iran's deliberate strategy of making it unusable.

Iran has restricted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, driving Brent crude oil prices past $100 a barrel with wild swings ongoing, and prompting fears of a global energy crisis that is already being felt from India's hotel kitchens to European gas markets. DNP INDIA

Atlantic Council analyst Danny Citrinowitz told CBS News that Iran and its proxies can target ships through the waterway even without formally mining the strait — which explains why US warships have not yet entered the Strait of Hormuz or escorted ships through, even as President Trump claims the Iranian navy has been decimated. News9live

For India specifically, nearly 87 per cent of India's annual LPG imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz Wikipedia — which is precisely why hotel owners in Bhopal, Indore and Raipur are currently cooking on coal.

The Political Endgame: No Off-Ramp in Sight

Unlike the truce from 2025's 12-day war — which ended after Omani mediation — the assassination of Supreme Leader Khamenei has locked the US and Israel in a war of attrition with no clear off-ramp. The "decapitation" strategy that assumed Iran's government would collapse has instead produced a more radicalised successor who has the full loyalty of the IRGC. DNP INDIA

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres warned that the situation in the Middle East "could spiral beyond anyone's control," stating: "It is time to stop the fighting and get to serious diplomatic negotiations." Russian President Vladimir Putin separately urged an immediate end to hostilities in a call with Iranian President Pezeshkian. Dainikjagranmpcg

Trump, meanwhile, has demanded Iran's unconditional surrender — a position that, combined with Mojtaba Khamenei's vow of vengeance, leaves little visible space for the kind of mediated ceasefire that ended last year's shorter conflict.

What This Means for India

The Iran war is not an abstract geopolitical event for India. Its consequences are landing in daily life:

• LPG crisis: Commercial gas shortage hitting hotels, restaurants and wedding caterers across MP, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu
• Oil prices: Brent crude above $100 per barrel — fuel price increases are a matter of when, not if
• Shipping disruption: Indian exports and imports passing through the Arabian Sea face increased risk
• Diaspora: Large Indian communities in UAE, Kuwait, Bahrain and Saudi Arabia are living within range of Iranian drone and missile strikes

Bottom Line

Mojtaba Khamenei has inherited a war, escalated it, and shown no sign of seeking an exit. The US denies its carriers were hit and continues striking Iran's defence industrial base around the clock. The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal tanker traffic. Oil is above $100. And the diplomatic path that ended 2025's 12-day war — Omani mediation, a defined scope of targets, room for negotiation — has been foreclosed by the assassination that started this one.

Day 13 of Operation Epic Fury. No ceasefire. No surrender. No off-ramp visible.