Trump Optimistic as Iran War Nears End; Tehran to Respond to US Proposal Today

US President Donald Trump has expressed confidence that the ongoing conflict with Iran will conclude quickly, with Tehran expected to deliver its response to a proposed peace agreement through mediators on Thursday.

Tensions in the Middle East appear to be easing as diplomatic efforts gain momentum. US President Donald Trump stated on Wednesday that the war with Iran “will be over quickly,” while pushing for a resolution covering the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran’s nuclear programme. 

According to multiple reports, Iran is set to hand over its formal response to mediators today regarding a US-backed framework aimed at ending hostilities.

Diplomatic Breakthrough on the Horizon

Negotiations have reportedly advanced significantly in recent hours. Sources indicate that a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding is under discussion, though not yet finalised. The proposed deal includes a formal declaration to end the war, followed by a 30-day window for detailed talks on key issues such as navigation through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran’s nuclear ambitions, and potential easing of US sanctions.

Possible venues mentioned for further discussions include Islamabad and Geneva. Trump, speaking during a tele-rally and later at the White House, described recent talks as “very good” and reiterated that Washington’s actions were meant to stop Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. 

Trump Warns of Consequences, Highlights Progress

In a Truth Social post earlier, the US President had warned that failure to agree would lead to intensified military action. However, his tone shifted to one of cautious optimism on Wednesday night. “They want to make a deal, and we’ll see if we can get there,” he remarked during a White House event. 

Trump also shared a chart on Truth Social comparing the current “Iran Excursion,” reportedly lasting about six weeks, with much longer previous US conflicts in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Vietnam. He captioned it simply: “Wow. Study this Chart!”

Officials familiar with the matter said the US maintains a strong naval presence in the region, described by Trump as acting like a “steel wall,” restricting Iranian vessel movements. He added that the situation remains “under control.” 

Market Reaction Positive Amid Ceasefire Hopes

Global markets responded favourably to the de-escalation signals. Oil prices fell sharply on Wednesday, with Brent crude settling around $101 per barrel, down nearly 8% from the previous day. Just a week ago, prices had climbed above $120 amid supply fears. 

Equity markets also climbed, reflecting investor relief over potential stabilisation in energy supplies. The developments come against the backdrop of ongoing supply disruptions affecting several regions. 

South Korea, for instance, extended its ban on petroleum stockpiling for another two months to manage domestic fuel market stability. 

Regional Spillovers Continue

While focus remains on US-Iran talks, related tensions persist. Israeli forces carried out strikes in southern Lebanon, including one targeting Erzi town near Sidon and another in Beirut’s southern suburbs that reportedly killed Malek Balou, a commander of Hezbollah’s Radwan Force. 

Four Israeli soldiers were injured in a separate drone attack in southern Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that no terrorist would be safe and emphasised protection for northern Israeli communities.

ASEAN Summit to Discuss Energy Fallout

The broader West Asia crisis is also drawing international attention. Leaders at the ongoing ASEAN summit in Cebu, Philippines, are expected to prioritise discussions on the global fuel crisis and its impact on energy and food security for the region’s nearly 700 million people. 

Analysts note that managing economic fallout from the conflict could take precedence over other regional issues during the meeting. 

What Lies Ahead

Iran’s response today will be crucial in determining whether a ceasefire materialises within the next 48 hours, as some reports suggest is possible. While both sides appear interested in de-escalation, significant differences remain on nuclear issues and sanctions relief. 

Local authorities and shipping trackers continue monitoring maritime movements, with some empty tankers still navigating Iran-linked routes despite sanctions. 

The coming hours could mark a turning point in one of the more intense chapters of recent Middle East tensions, with implications for global energy markets, shipping routes, and regional stability. 

Iran has openly questioned Pakistan’s suitability as a mediator in backchannel talks involving Tehran and Washington, adding a fresh diplomatic strain to an already volatile regional situation. The remarks came as efforts to reduce tensions in the Middle East remained inconclusive and no breakthrough was reported in indirect engagement between Iran and the United States.

Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesperson for the Iranian Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, said Pakistan may be a friendly country but it cannot be considered an impartial mediator in negotiations involving Iran and the US.

Pakistan’s neutrality questioned

Rezaei said Pakistan has repeatedly shown a tendency to align with American interests, particularly those linked to former US President Donald Trump, and therefore cannot be viewed as neutral. According to Iranian officials, a credible mediator must maintain equal distance from both sides and avoid favouring one party in strategic negotiations.

His remarks signal growing unease within sections of the Iranian establishment over Islamabad’s diplomatic positioning at a time when multiple regional powers are attempting to prevent further escalation.

The statement also comes amid heightened diplomatic movement. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi visited Pakistan twice within 24 hours, underlining the urgency of consultations taking place behind closed doors, as per reports.

Trump issues warning

The diplomatic friction coincided with a sharp warning from Donald Trump, who claimed Iran had only three days to agree to a ceasefire or risk serious damage to its oil infrastructure.

In an interview with Fox News, Trump said Iran’s oil pipeline system could face internal pressure-related blasts if the conflict continued and export routes remained blocked. He argued that if Iran is unable to move crude through shipping channels or storage networks due to blockade conditions, pressure could build inside pipelines and trigger structural failures.

Trump claimed such damage would be technically difficult to reverse and could significantly reduce Iran’s oil export capacity over the long term.

Oil routes in focus

Trump’s remarks have drawn attention to Iran’s energy infrastructure, which remains central to both its economy and geopolitical leverage. Any disruption to oil movement, whether through sanctions, blockade or military escalation, could deepen pressure on Tehran and impact global energy markets.

Analysts tracking the region say oil remains one of Iran’s strongest strategic assets and a prolonged disruption could alter the balance of ongoing negotiations. While Trump is not currently in office, his comments continue to influence political discourse around US-Iran policy and remain closely watched in National and International News coverage.

Diplomatic pressure grows

The latest developments reflect the increasing complexity of diplomatic efforts involving Iran, the US and regional actors. Pakistan has sought to maintain engagement with both sides, but Tehran’s latest public criticism suggests trust remains limited.

According to officials familiar with regional discussions, mediation efforts have become more difficult as competing strategic interests continue to shape positions across the region. Iran’s public criticism of Pakistan may also complicate Islamabad’s attempts to project itself as a credible intermediary in future talks.

Regional stakes rise

The broader implications extend beyond diplomacy. Any failure in de-escalation efforts could trigger fresh disruptions in oil markets, deepen military tensions and draw more regional players into an already fragile conflict environment.

For Pakistan, the criticism presents a diplomatic challenge. For Iran, it signals a firmer public stance on who it considers acceptable in sensitive negotiations. For the US, the lack of progress keeps the confrontation unresolved.

What comes next

No formal agreement has emerged from the latest round of diplomatic activity, and neither Tehran nor Washington has indicated any immediate shift in position. Pakistan has not publicly responded to Rezaei’s remarks so far.

With Iran questioning Pakistan’s mediator role and Trump renewing pressure on Tehran, the coming days may prove critical for US-Iran talks.

US-Iran Talks End Without Agreement in Islamabad

Vance confirms stalemate after 21 hours; Iranian delegation departs Pakistan

The much-anticipated peace talks between the United States and Iran concluded without a breakthrough early Sunday, with US Vice President JD Vance announcing that the two sides failed to reach an agreement after 21 hours of intense negotiations.

Delegations Depart

Vance addressed the press in Islamabad before departing on Air Force Two, confirming that the US delegation was leaving Pakistan. Iran’s parliamentary delegation, led by Speaker Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, also exited the Pakistani capital hours later. According to officials familiar with the matter, the next round of talks remains uncertain.

No Agreement on Nuclear Demands

“We have been at it now for 21 hours. The bad news is that we have not reached an agreement,” Vance told reporters. He stated that Washington had presented its “final and best offer,” but Tehran had not accepted US terms. The primary sticking point, officials indicated, remains Iran’s nuclear programme. Vance clarified the US position: “We need to see an affirmative commitment that they will not seek a nuclear weapon.”

Iran Cites US ‘Overreach’

Iranian state media, including Tasnim news agency, blamed Washington for the stalemate, citing “US overreach and ambitions.” However, Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei struck a slightly different tone, confirming that understanding had been reached on several issues, though “differences still remain on 2–3 key matters.” He added that no one realistically expected a final deal in a single meeting given the deep distrust.

Global Reaction and Saudi Restoration

The failure drew a swift international response. UK Health Secretary Wes Streeting expressed disappointment, while Australian Foreign Minister Penny Wong urged both sides to “return to negotiations” and uphold the existing ceasefire.

In a parallel development, Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Energy announced the full restoration of two major energy sites. Officials confirmed that full pumping capacity through the East-West Pipeline, amounting to seven million barrels per day, has returned. Production has also resumed at the Manifa oilfield.

What Next for the Region?

With the diplomatic path stalled, tensions are rising. President Donald Trump shared an article suggesting a possible maritime blockade on Iran, a move that could impact nations dependent on Iranian oil, including India and China. Meanwhile, Israeli strikes continued on southern Lebanon, with Lebanese state media reporting multiple casualties near Tyre. As one English news portal India noted, the Strait of Hormuz has emerged as a new strategic flashpoint. For now, the world waits to see if the ceasefire holds or if the region slides back into wider conflict.