Preparing a home-cooked meal became more expensive in June as rising prices of onions, tomatoes, cooking oil and LPG pushed up the cost of both vegetarian and non-vegetarian thalis across India, according to Crisil's latest monthly Roti Rice Rate (RRR) report.

The report shows that the average cost of a vegetarian thali increased by 5% year-on-year to ₹28.4 in June 2026, compared with ₹28.1 in the same month last year. On a monthly basis, the cost also rose by 4% over May.

Meanwhile, the average non-vegetarian thali became 6% costlier year-on-year and 3% more expensive month-on-month, largely due to higher chicken prices amid supply constraints.

Vegetable Prices Push Up Meal Costs

The increase in the cost of vegetarian meals was primarily driven by higher prices of essential kitchen ingredients.

According to the report, tomato prices jumped 31% year-on-year, rising from ₹32 per kg in June 2025 to ₹42 per kg in June 2026. The sharp increase has been attributed to delayed summer crop sowing and lower plantation caused by unusually high temperatures during February and March.

Onion prices also recorded a 2% annual increase, while on a monthly basis, tomatoes rose 17%, onions 8%, and potatoes 5%, adding further pressure on household food budgets.

Although potato prices remain 14% lower than last year due to the arrival of fresh rabi stocks, the decline has not been sufficient to offset increases in other key ingredients.

LPG and Edible Oil Remain Expensive

Crisil Intelligence Director Pushan Sharma said global geopolitical developments, particularly tensions involving the Middle East, have disrupted supply chains and increased the prices of edible oils and domestic LPG cylinders.

Both cooking oil and LPG prices are around 10% higher on a year-on-year basis, contributing significantly to the overall rise in meal preparation costs.

Chicken Supply Shortage Raises Non-Veg Thali Cost

The report noted that higher poultry prices were the main reason behind the increase in non-vegetarian meal costs.

Broiler chicken accounts for nearly 50% of the total cost of a non-vegetarian thali. Prices have risen by approximately 7% year-on-year, while monthly prices also moved up by about 2%.

Extreme summer temperatures reportedly increased bird mortality, reduced average bird weight and discouraged poultry farms from placing fresh chicks, resulting in lower market supply and higher retail prices.

Pulse Prices May Rise Further

The report also warns that prices of pulses could remain elevated in the coming months.

Low opening stocks of urad and moong, coupled with weather-related crop damage in Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra, are expected to keep pulse prices under pressure.

Monsoon to Determine Future Food Inflation

Crisil believes onion and tomato prices could remain elevated through July and August due to delayed kharif sowing and seasonal supply constraints.

Heavy rainfall affecting transportation or further crop damage could tighten supplies even more during the peak monsoon period.

However, some relief may emerge from September onwards, when fresh kharif arrivals from southern and western India are expected to improve market supply. The extent of price moderation will depend on rainfall distribution, crop health and smooth transportation to wholesale markets.

With food inflation showing signs of persistence and kitchen staples becoming more expensive, households may continue to face higher grocery bills in the near term. Market observers say the progress of the southwest monsoon and agricultural output over the next few weeks will play a crucial role in determining food prices during the remainder of the season.

Govt to Release March 2025 Inflation Data Today: New CPI Basket Includes OTT, Airfares

Consumer Price Index shift to 2024 base year adds 59 new items; March numbers due at 4 pm amid high oil price concerns.

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation will release India’s retail inflation data for March 2025 at 4 pm on Monday, 13 April 2026. This is the third monthly inflation print under the new base year 2024, which replaced the previous 2012 series.

New CPI Basket Unveiled

The government has expanded the inflation basket from 299 to 358 items. Officials added 49 new products, taking the total to 308, while services increased from 40 to 50. New inclusions now track rural house rent, CNG, PNG, OTT subscription fees, airfares, railfares, and mobile tariffs. The move aims to reflect current consumption patterns more accurately.

How Retail Inflation Is Calculated

The Consumer Price Index measures price changes in everyday goods, fuel, and services. Inflation rises when demand outpaces supply. Under the new series, weightages have been realigned to capture rural and urban spending habits better. According to officials, the updated methodology provides a truer picture of household cost pressures.

February Inflation Already on the Rise

National Statistical Office data showed retail inflation climbed to 3.21% in February 2026 from a revised 2.74% in January. Rural inflation stood at 3.37%, while urban segments recorded 3.02%. Sources indicated that March figures may extend this rising trend for the fifth consecutive month.

Iran War Impact Looms Large

Crude oil prices surged 71% during the six-week Iran conflict, jumping from $70 to a brief high of $120 per barrel. The Reserve Bank of India’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Committee warned that high oil prices and weather disturbances could push FY27 inflation to 4.6%, significantly higher than FY26’s 2.1%. Governor Sanjay Malhotra noted that imported commodities from Gulf nations face cascading price pressures.

What the New Numbers Will Reveal

Economists tracking this English News Portal India update expect March 2025 inflation to test the RBI’s upper tolerance level if fuel costs pass through fully. The government maintains that domestic food supplies remain adequate. However, global crude volatility remains a key monitorable.

What Next for Policy and Public

The RBI’s next policy response will depend on whether March data shows sustained momentum. Analysts say another uptick could delay any rate cut cycle. For the public, dearer transport, entertainment, and housing rent may follow if oil stays elevated. The ministry will release the full dataset with rural-urban breakups by evening.