The southwest monsoon may make its entry into parts of Madhya Pradesh on June 18–19, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) indicated on Tuesday, as pre-monsoon activity brings thunderstorms and heavy rain to over 30 districts.

IMD data show the state is 29% below average for June so far, with just 22.7 mm of rain recorded against the normal 31.9 mm up to June 15. Officials said 35 of the state’s 55 districts — including Indore, Jabalpur, Ujjain, and Ratlam — have received below-normal rainfall in the month.

“The southwest monsoon is likely to advance into parts of Madhya Pradesh between June 18 and 19,” an IMD bulletin said, adding that pre-monsoon systems may trigger thunderstorms, gusty winds and heavy showers across more than 30 districts on Tuesday. Areas under alert include Bhopal, Gwalior, Shivpuri, Morena, Bhind, Datia, Guna, Vidisha, Sehore, Khandwa, Burhanpur, Harda, Betul, Narmadapuram, Sagar, Chhindwara, Balaghat, Mandla, Dindori and several others.

Monday saw a fresh spell of rain in parts of the state, with Bhopal, Raisen and Sehore recording heavy showers. Bhopal and Sagar recorded over half an inch of rainfall, and thunderstorms helped bring down daytime temperatures in some pockets.

Despite the recent activity, the cumulative shortfall is clear: districts in the Jabalpur and Indore divisions — historically significant for early monsoon inflow — remain notably behind. The IMD said the current rainfall has largely been pre-monsoon in character and the situation should improve once the main monsoon arrives.

Temperature trends remain mixed. Five major urban centres recorded high daytime readings on Tuesday: Bhopal 34.5°C, Indore 37.1°C, Ujjain 38°C, Jabalpur 38.7°C and Gwalior 39.2°C. Khajuraho logged the state’s highest maximum at 42.6°C, while Naogaon saw 42°C. Several stations including Datia, Damoh and Satna crossed 40°C. Pachmarhi was relatively cool with a maximum of 34.2°C.

IMD forecasters flagged that several districts — Indore, Ujjain, Shajapur, Neemuch, Mandsaur, Ratlam, Khargone and parts of western Madhya Pradesh — could see strong sunshine and continuing heat after brief rainy spells, keeping the heat‑stress risk alive for vulnerable groups.

How the monsoon approaches matters. Meteorologists say the monsoon is likely to push into the state via the southeast, advancing through Balaghat, Chhindwara and Pandhurna before fanning out. If the expected 18–19 June advance happens, it should narrow the rainfall deficit and boost inflow to districts that are currently lagging.

Local climatology underscores regional differences: Jabalpur typically sees an earlier and stronger monsoon onset compared with western districts, and historical records show wide variability. For instance, Indore’s June rainfall records include extremes — 17 inches in 1980, while June day temperatures have once touched 45.8°C (3 June 1991). Gwalior has seen maximums near 47.8°C in extreme years.

Officials urged residents to stay alert to short‑term weather warnings, particularly where thunderstorms and gusty winds are forecast. Agriculture and water‑management officials said they will monitor the monsoon’s arrival closely, since early rains are critical for sowing in rain‑fed areas and for replenishing reservoirs that feed irrigation schemes.

The IMD will issue updated bulletins as the situation evolves. For now, Tuesday’s advisory covers more than 30 districts with potential thunderstorm and heavy‑rain warnings; exact intensity and timing will depend on the monsoon’s progress from the southeast corridor.