Fresh speculation of another split in the Shiv Sena has surfaced after the Shinde faction claimed that seven MPs from Uddhav Thackeray’s Shiv Sena (UBT) are in touch with them and may switch sides soon.

Shiv Sena (Shinde) MLC Krupal Tumane told ANI that quiet discussions have been going on for the past month under what he called “Operation Tiger”. He said the process is now in its final stage and the MPs could join the Shinde group before the Monsoon Session of Parliament begins.

The claim has triggered a fresh round of political activity in Maharashtra, where the Thackeray family’s control over the party has been under strain ever since the 2022 rebellion led by Eknath Shinde.

Uddhav Thackeray, during a meeting with party MPs on June 14, reportedly took a calm but firm stand. According to those familiar with the meeting, he told leaders that anyone who wants to leave the party is free to do so and would not be stopped. He referred to the 2022 split, saying he had known about the rebellion then but chose not to pressure anyone to stay.

Meanwhile, Shiv Sena (UBT) MP Sanjay Deshmukh met Union Minister Prataprao Jadhav in Delhi on Monday. Deshmukh had skipped the Sunday party meeting, citing family reasons. His meeting with the minister has added to the buzz, though no official confirmation of any switch has come yet.

Sanjay Raut, the sharp-tongued UBT MP, quickly dismissed the claims as baseless. He asserted that all party MPs remain loyal to Uddhav Thackeray and described the reports of another split as false propaganda. Raut questioned Krupal Tumane’s relevance, asking, “Who is Kripal Tumane?” and calling him not a major name in Maharashtra politics.

Raut pointed out that all MPs had attended Uddhav’s meeting four days ago and expressed full confidence in his leadership. Some even swore on their family members to stay with Thackeray, he added. However, media reports suggested that only four MPs attended the meeting in person, one joined virtually, and four were absent, raising questions about the actual strength of the group.

This development comes nearly four years after the original split that changed Maharashtra politics. On June 20, 2022, 40 of Shiv Sena’s 55 MLAs sided with Eknath Shinde while Uddhav Thackeray was Chief Minister. After a dramatic few days involving a Supreme Court approach and a floor test, Thackeray resigned. Shinde took oath as Chief Minister with BJP support on June 30, 2022.

The battle for the party’s identity continued in courts and the Election Commission. In January 2024, Maharashtra Assembly Speaker Rahul Narwekar recognised the Shinde faction as the real Shiv Sena, citing majority support. The Election Commission later awarded the traditional bow-and-arrow symbol to Shinde’s group, forcing Uddhav’s faction to contest as Shiv Sena (UBT).

The current claims of seven MPs crossing over, if true, could further weaken Uddhav Thackeray’s position in national politics, where numbers matter in Parliament. The Shinde faction, already in power in the state with BJP, sees this as another opportunity to consolidate its hold over the original Shiv Sena legacy.

For now, both sides are digging in. The Shinde camp is projecting confidence, while the UBT side is playing down the reports and stressing unity. Political observers in Mumbai say such claims often surface ahead of important sessions to create pressure and test loyalties.

The coming days will be crucial. If even a couple of MPs do switch, it could trigger more movement. Maharashtra’s politics has rarely been stable since 2022, with multiple smaller shifts and realignments keeping the state in constant churn.

Uddhav Thackeray’s “they are free to leave” remark is being seen by some as a sign of quiet confidence and by others as acceptance of ground realities. The party that once dominated Mumbai and much of Maharashtra remains divided, with both factions claiming to be the true inheritors of Balasaheb Thackeray’s ideology.

As the Monsoon Session approaches, all eyes are on the seven names doing the rounds. Whether Tumane’s claims materialise or remain political posturing will soon become clear. For now, the speculation itself has added fresh heat to an already volatile political summer in the state.