Tehran has tempered expectations of a swift agreement with Washington to end months of conflict, stating that no final decision has been taken on the proposed truce. Qatari negotiators landed in the Iranian capital on Saturday to help bridge remaining gaps, even as US President Donald Trump claimed a deal could be sealed as early as Sunday.

Mixed Signals from Tehran

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said political, legal and technical reviews of the proposed agreement are still underway. While rejecting claims of a signing on Sunday, officials indicated that an understanding could still be reached in the coming days. The ministry also announced new regulations to monitor shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, with possible future levies on vessels using the vital waterway.

The comments came hours after Trump asserted that the deal would immediately reopen the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping and mark a major improvement in bilateral ties. Washington and Islamabad have expressed optimism that a framework agreement could end nearly four months of hostilities.

Qatari Mediators Step In

A high-level Qatari delegation, led by an adviser to Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani, arrived in Tehran to push for final approval. Iranian state media ISNA and Tasnim reported that the team aims to review the latest developments in the diplomatic track. Sources familiar with the matter told Reuters the visit is part of intense last-minute efforts to finalise the truce.

Background of the Conflict

The current tensions stem from escalated hostilities involving the US, Israel and Iran that began earlier this year. The 12-day war with Israel last year remains fresh in Iranian memory, with President Masoud Pezeshkian recently hailing it as a “symbol of national solidarity.” Reports also emerged of Iran securing tunnels at the Isfahan nuclear facility amid the uncertainty.

Protests on Iranian Streets

Public reaction in Iran has been mixed. In Mashhad, dozens gathered outside the Foreign Ministry office to protest against what they see as excessive concessions. Demonstrators raised slogans against Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Bagher Ghalibaf, warning that the deal could weaken Iran’s strategic leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. Similar protests were reported in Tehran via social media videos.

Regional Ripples and Israeli Stance

The developments have kept the wider region on edge. Israel continued operations in southern Lebanon, issuing displacement orders for residents of 29 towns and villages and reporting the killing of seven Hezbollah fighters. Far-right ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich reiterated strong positions against Hezbollah. Meanwhile, Israeli President Isaac Herzog praised Trump’s approach towards Iran.

India has also been drawn in, with New Delhi summoning a US diplomat over attacks on ships carrying Indian sailors. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio reportedly told External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar that violations of the Hormuz blockade would not be tolerated.

Political Reactions in the US

In Washington, Democratic lawmakers expressed scepticism. Senator Adam Schiff hoped the deal would hold but pointed to past broken promises. On the Republican side, some lawmakers continued to voice strong reservations about allowing Iran any path to nuclear weapons.

What Lies Ahead

According to reports, the proposed interim memorandum of understanding could be followed by 60 days of technical negotiations covering Iran’s nuclear programme, sanctions relief, and management of the Strait of Hormuz. Both sides appear conscious of the high stakes — economic, strategic and humanitarian.

Iranian officials, including Ambassador Abolfazl Pasandideh, have emphasised that ordinary Iranians harbour no enmity towards the American people and seek mutual respect. The coming hours and days will be critical in determining whether the diplomatic momentum in Tehran translates into a concrete agreement.

The arrival of Qatari mediators has injected fresh urgency into efforts to end the war, but Tehran’s cautious tone suggests that several hurdles remain before any deal is finalised.

United States President Donald Trump plunged the Middle East into fresh uncertainty on Thursday, posting a cryptic AI-generated image of himself on Truth Social with the warning: “THE STORM IS COMING. NOTHING CAN STOP WHAT IS COMING.”

The message appeared just hours before a scheduled briefing where he is expected to receive new military options regarding Iran from CENTCOM Commander Admiral Brad Cooper.

According to a report by Axios citing two sources familiar with the matter, the briefing signals that Trump is seriously considering a return to major combat operations. The goal, officials indicated, would be to either break the diplomatic deadlock in nuclear negotiations or deliver what some describe as a final blow before any potential truce.

Oil prices cross $126

The mere anticipation of the briefing rattled global energy markets. Brent crude oil surged past $126 a barrel on Thursday, touching a high of $126.20—a level not seen since March 2022. The spike comes as the US maintains a stiff naval blockade around Iranian ports, with CENTCOM claiming it has forced at least 42 commercial vessels to reroute.

Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian responded defiantly on Thursday, calling the blockade “doomed to fail” and a violation of international law. “Any attempt to impose a maritime blockade is contrary to international law and is doomed to fail,” he said in a statement, adding that such measures only deepen regional instability.

CENTCOM briefing at a critical juncture

The briefing with Admiral Cooper comes at a particularly delicate moment. Reports emerged just 24 hours ago that Iran’s revised peace proposal could be submitted by Friday, according to CNN quoting sources familiar with ongoing mediation efforts.

But Trump on Wednesday already signaled a hard line, saying “there will never be a deal unless they agree that there will be no nuclear weapons.”

On the ground, the situation remains volatile. Israeli forces continued operations in southern Lebanon and Gaza, with the IDF claiming it killed a Hamas operative planning an “immediate” attack on troops. Meanwhile, the Israeli navy intercepted a Gaza-bound flotilla in international waters near Crete, detaining some 400 activists, a move the UN’s special rapporteur called “apartheid without borders.”

Iran’s economy under severe strain

Inside Iran, the war’s toll is increasingly visible. Official data released on Thursday showed annual inflation hitting a staggering 73.5% in the month ending April 20. The smallest banknote, worth 100,000 rials, now barely buys two loaves of bread. Unemployment has touched a record 25%, and pension payments are reportedly facing delays.

In a rare public statement, Iran’s Reformists Front called for an end to unequal internet access, arguing that cybersecurity policy should shift away from “broad shutdowns” toward more technical approaches.

The blockade and the strait

Trump, in a meeting with oil executives earlier this week, reportedly defended the blockade as more effective than bombing. Iran’s top military adviser, Mohsen Rezaei, warned on state television that Tehran “will not tolerate” an extension of the blockade.

“The Indian Ocean is extremely vast, and we can easily pass through it; we have already done so,” Rezaei said.

But US officials claim the restrictions are working. CENTCOM estimates Iran has lost over $6 billion in potential revenue from stranded oil shipments. In a further pressure move, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent revealed that Washington has seized nearly half a billion dollars in Iranian cryptocurrency assets.

What happens next

All eyes are now on the White House. The outcome of today’s CENTCOM briefing could determine whether the fragile ceasefire holds or collapses entirely. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned on Thursday that the consequences of this conflict may echo “for months or even years to come.”

For now, Trump’s “storm” remains a warning. But with oil at $126 and a naval blockade in place, the region is already feeling the rain.

US-Iran Talks in Pakistan Aim to Ease Rising Tensions

The US-Iran talks in Pakistan mark a fresh diplomatic push as Washington seeks to stabilise ceasefire and revive stalled negotiations with Tehran

Diplomatic Push Begins

The United States has intensified efforts to ease tensions with Iran, with senior envoys set to visit Pakistan for a new round of negotiations. The White House confirmed that the talks will take place in Islamabad, signalling a renewed attempt to stabilise a fragile ceasefire and prevent escalation in the long-standing standoff.

The development comes at a critical juncture, with both sides showing cautious willingness to re-engage diplomatically after previous efforts failed to deliver concrete outcomes.

Key Envoys Travel

Senior US envoy Steve Witkoff will lead the delegation, accompanied by Jared Kushner, who has previously been involved in high-level negotiations. Officials indicated that the visit is part of a broader strategy to revive stalled dialogue channels.

Vice President JD Vance, who participated in earlier rounds, will not join the delegation but remains on standby depending on the progress of discussions.

Pakistan’s Mediator Role

Pakistan has emerged as a key intermediary in facilitating indirect communication between Washington and Tehran. By hosting multiple rounds of talks, Islamabad has positioned itself as neutral ground where sensitive negotiations can proceed without direct confrontation.

Diplomatic sources said Pakistan’s role has been crucial in maintaining backchannel communication, especially during periods of heightened tension.

Issues Remain Unresolved

Despite renewed engagement, major sticking points persist. These include disagreements over Iran’s nuclear programme, the scope of sanctions relief, and broader regional security concerns.

Officials familiar with the process said earlier negotiations failed to yield a breakthrough, even after extended discussions. The current round is expected to revisit these unresolved issues, though expectations remain measured.

Tehran’s Mixed Signals

Iran’s response to the proposed talks has been cautious. While officials have not ruled out participation, Tehran has sent mixed signals regarding direct engagement with the United States.

There are indications that senior Iranian representatives, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, could be involved. However, confirmation on the level of participation remains unclear.

Global Stakes High

The outcome of the US-Iran talks in Pakistan carries significant implications for regional and global stability. A successful agreement could reduce the risk of military escalation in the Middle East and improve diplomatic relations.

Conversely, failure may deepen mistrust and prolong uncertainty, with potential ripple effects on global energy markets and international security frameworks. Analysts note that even incremental progress could help build confidence between the two sides.

What Lies Ahead

Washington has expressed cautious optimism, citing “encouraging signals” from Tehran following a temporary ceasefire that created space for dialogue. However, officials acknowledge that substantial gaps remain.

As the US-Iran talks in Pakistan unfold, the international community will closely monitor whether this diplomatic initiative can break the deadlock. The coming days are expected to determine whether negotiations move forward or once again stall amid unresolved differences.

In a dramatic revelation amid the escalating US-Israel Iran conflict, US Special Representative Steve Witkoff disclosed that Washington was prepared to supply nuclear fuel to Tehran in exchange for a 10-year halt on uranium enrichment. The proposal's rejection led to joint military strikes, marking the fourth day of intense operations. This failed nuclear deal attempt underscores the deepening Middle East war, with global repercussions on energy supplies and regional stability.

Failed Nuclear Talks Spark Military Action

The US-Israel Iran conflict intensified after negotiations collapsed, as Witkoff explained in a recent interview. Iran rejected the US offer, insisting on its "inalienable right" to enrich uranium. "We made a final effort, but it didn't succeed," Witkoff said, noting that military operations began shortly after. President Donald Trump, speaking from the White House, warned that the largest attack on Iran is "yet to come" and urged Americans to evacuate the Middle East, predicting the war could last four to five weeks.

This timeliness stems from Iran's accelerating nuclear program, which Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu claims would become "immune" to attacks within months without intervention. The strikes aim to dismantle Iran's ballistic missiles, navy, and proxy networks, preventing a broader threat to international peace.

Rising Casualties and Regional Fallout

Iran reports at least 742 deaths, including 176 children, since the conflict began on February 28. Over 750 injuries have been recorded, with strikes targeting key sites like Tehran's Golestan Palace—a UNESCO World Heritage Site—and nuclear facilities in Natanz. Funerals for 165 schoolgirls killed in Minab highlight the human cost, drawing UN condemnation for attacks on civilians, schools, and hospitals.

The Middle East war has spilled over:

- Iranian missiles hit Saudi Arabia's Ras Tanura refinery and US embassies in Riyadh and Kuwait, prompting consular service suspensions.

- Drone strikes targeted Oman's Duqm port and a hotel housing US troops in Iraq's Erbil.

- Hezbollah retaliated by attacking three Israeli sites, while Israel struck Beirut, forcing evacuations in Lebanese villages.

- Qatar intercepted Iranian drones, halting LNG production, and Bahrain downed 70 missiles.

US losses include six service members killed and three F-15E jets downed by friendly fire in Kuwait. Iran claims to have closed the Strait of Hormuz, threatening global oil supplies, though US Central Command denies this.

Expert Perspectives and Global Reactions

Analysts view the US-Israel alliance as a pre-emptive move to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions, echoing Trump's withdrawal from the 2015 JCPOA, which he credits with preventing Tehran from acquiring weapons. "This is not an endless war; it's the gateway to peace," Netanyahu told Fox News.

International responses vary: UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's stance drew Trump's criticism, straining relations. Turkey's President Erdogan called for a ceasefire amid civilian suffering. The UN expressed alarm, urging protection for children.

What It Means for the Future

As the US-Israel Iran conflict rages, experts urge diplomatic revival to avert a prolonged Middle East war. For readers, monitor travel advisories—US citizens should depart 14 countries immediately. This failed nuclear deal saga highlights the fragility of global security; staying informed via live updates is key to understanding potential economic shocks from disrupted energy flows.