ADB Sees India’s FY 26 Growth Trimmed Amid Trump Tariff Risks
Business
The Asian Development Bank now expects India’s GDP to grow at **6.5 % in FY 2026**, down from an earlier estimate of 6.7 %, citing U.S. tariffs and trade uncertainties that could weigh on exports and investment.
Despite the 7.8% growth in the first quarter, the ADB (Asian Development Bank) has revised its growth forecast for the Indian economy to 6.5% for 2025-26. This revision is due to the impact of US tariffs on exports from India, which are expected to dampen growth, particularly in the second half of the year. Notably, the Asian Development Outlook (ADO) report, released by the ADB in April, had projected a higher growth rate of seven percent. This was subsequently revised downwards to 6.5 percent in the July report, owing to concerns about the imposition of 50 percent tariffs by the US on goods from India.