Fuel rates have already climbed Rs 7.5 per litre since May, with another Rs 2.5 hike possible; silver breaches Rs 2.65 lakh per kg mark.

 Indian consumers may have to brace for another round of fuel price hikes as oil marketing companies consider raising petrol and diesel rates by up to Rs 2.5 per litre in the coming days, according to a report by rating agency Crisil released on Tuesday.

Oil Companies Under Pressure

Petrol and diesel prices have already increased by approximately Rs 7.5 per litre since May 15, and state-run oil marketing companies have been gradually paring losses amid rising global crude prices. With international crude oil averaging around USD 112 per barrel during the first two months of the current financial year, significantly higher than earlier estimates, the pressure on retail margins has intensified.

Crisil noted that cumulative hikes could move closer to Rs 10 per litre in the near term if global crude prices stay elevated.

Inflation Concerns Mounting

The impact of higher fuel prices is expected to ripple through the broader economy. Road transport accounts for roughly 71 per cent of India‘s freight movement, and fuel makes up nearly 42 per cent of transport operators’ expenses. Crisil estimates that the Rs 7.5 per litre increase already adds about 36 basis points to consumer price index inflation. If fuel prices rise further to Rs 10 per litre, the total impact could approach 48 basis points.

Food items dependent on transportation networks — including dairy, fruits, vegetables, pulses, spices, tea, coffee, eggs, meat and fish — are likely to feel the heat first. Manufacturing sectors such as clothing, consumer electronics, cement, ceramics, chemicals, coal and metal-related products are also expected to see higher input costs.

ED Conducts Searches at Vedanta Offices

In a separate development, the Enforcement Directorate carried out searches at multiple premises of the Vedanta Group in Delhi, Mumbai and Udaipur as part of a probe into alleged Foreign Exchange Management Act violations. Officials familiar with the matter said the investigation is examining transactions related to brand royalty payments made by the Indian subsidiary to its UK-based parent company, Vedanta Resources.

The searches, which began on Monday and continued through Tuesday, are being conducted under the civil provisions of FEMA. The probe is reportedly looking into an instance from 2023 where Vedanta Resources refunded a portion of the brand fee to Vedanta Ltd. A spokesperson for the mining conglomerate said the company was extending full cooperation to the authorities.

South Korea Overtakes India in Market Cap

India‘s stock market ranking slipped a notch as South Korea overtook it to become the world’s sixth-largest equity market. Data compiled by Bloomberg showed that the total market capitalisation of South Korea-listed companies surged 86 per cent this year to USD 5 trillion, driven largely by chip-making giants riding the artificial intelligence wave. Meanwhile, India‘s market capitalisation declined to USD 4.8 trillion.

Despite the shift in market cap ranking, India’s economy, valued at USD 4.15 trillion, remains considerably larger than South Korea's USD 1.93 trillion GDP, according to IMF estimates.

Silver Prices Breach Rs 2.65 Lakh Per Kg

Bullion markets also saw sharp moves, with silver prices jumping Rs 2,050 per kg to reach Rs 2.65 lakh. Ten grams of 24-carat gold climbed Rs 758 to trade at Rs 1.56 lakh, according to India Bullion and Jewellers Association data.

Markets Stay Cautious

On the equity front, benchmark indices ended Tuesday with modest losses. The Sensex closed 77 points lower at 81,373.75, while the Nifty slipped 34 points to settle at 24,716.60 amid cautious sentiment.