Nepal Elections 2026: Balen Shah’s Rastriya Swatantra Party Surges Ahead in 106 Seats, Oli Trails Badly

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Nepal Elections 2026: Balen Shah’s Rastriya Swatantra Party Surges Ahead in 106 Seats, Oli Trails Badly

Nepal elections 2026 latest: Balen Shah’s party leads in 106 seats, Oli down by 5,000 votes in Jhapa-5. Youth wave shakes politics amid 60% turnout.

Vote counting in Nepal's parliamentary elections on March 6, 2026, shows a stunning lead for rapper-turned-politician Balen Shah’s Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) in 106 of 126 reported seats, with one win already secured. This youth-driven surge challenges Nepal's old guard after last year's protests toppled the previous government.

Early Leads Shake Establishment

RSP dominates early trends from 142 of 165 direct seats, leading in 103 as counting progresses. Nepali Congress trails with leads in 11 seats and one win, while KP Sharma Oli’s CPN-UML holds just 9. Pushpa Kamal Dahal’s party leads in 10.

In Jhapa-5, Balen Shah crushes Oli by over 5,000 votes—10,466 to 2,205—potentially ending Oli's streak from 2017 and 2022. RSP's Rabi Lamichhane leads big in Chitwan-2 by 5,000 votes, and Amresh Singh tops Gagan Thapa in Sarlahi-4.

  • RSP wins Kathmandu-1 via Ranju Darshana Neupane.

  • Leads in 14/15 Kathmandu Valley seats.[user-provided data]

  • Voter turnout hits 58-60%, highest in Bhaktapur at 71%.

Balen Shah: From Rapper to PM Hopeful

The 35-year-old former Kathmandu mayor, known for anti-corruption rap on poverty and inequality, joined RSP in 2023 after his independent mayoral win drew global praise from Time and NYT.[user-provided data] Youth flock to his fresh voice amid job migration woes—a key election issue.

RSP, formed in 2022, eyes majority in 275 seats (165 direct, 110 proportional), needing 138 for government.

Global Eyes on Nepal Shift

US, China, India watch closely amid South Asia power plays; stable democracy key for ties. Analysts predict coalition talks if no clear win, but RSP's momentum hints at change.

Counting wraps by March 9; full results could crown youth power. This matters now as Nepal seeks stability post-protests, with Gen Z demanding jobs over abroad migration.

 

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