Rain Threat Looms Over RR vs CSK IPL 2026 Clash in Guwahati Sanju Samson and Ravindra Jadeja Face Former Franchises as Dhoni Sits Out Season Opener

A High-Stakes Reset Derby

The third match of IPL 2026 carries more than just two points — it marks the start of new chapters for both Rajasthan Royals and Chennai Super Kings. The caravan of IPL 2026 moves to Guwahati's Barsapara Cricket Stadium for this season's Match 3, with both RR and CSK having finished at the bottom of the table last season, prompting significant squad overhauls heading into the new campaign.

For the first time in IPL history, Sanju Samson and Ravindra Jadeja will face their former franchises following a high-profile trade ahead of the 2026 season, in which CSK and RR exchanged the two stars in a rare and major move. The match is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM IST, with the toss at 7:00 PM.

Rain Arrives Before Toss

Mother Nature has thrown the first curveball of the evening. Rain arrived in Guwahati an hour before the scheduled toss, prolonging the wait for the first public view of the Samson-Jadeja trade in action.

According to AccuWeather, there is a 25% chance of precipitation during match hours, with humidity at 85% and cloud cover at 66% through the evening. The game could face a delayed start due to drizzle, though rain probability drops to around 20% during actual match time. Ground staff have the pitch under covers at Barsapara as officials monitor conditions closely.

Dhoni Absent, Samson Steps Up

The biggest talking point heading into the match is the absence of MS Dhoni. Dhoni has not even travelled to Guwahati and is ruled out for the first two weeks of IPL 2026 due to a calf strain. CSK will also be without Dewald Brevis for this fixture.

In Dhoni's absence, all eyes will be on Samson as he makes his debut in yellow, facing the franchise where he spent over a decade of his IPL career. CSK skipper Ruturaj Gaikwad has confirmed he will open the batting alongside Samson this season, adding a new dimension to Chennai's top order.

Samson vs Former Franchise

Sanju Samson's return to Guwahati — this time in CSK yellow — will be among the most emotionally charged subplots of this IPL season. The wicketkeeper-batter captained Rajasthan Royals for years before the landmark trade that reshaped both squads. Now led by local hero Riyan Parag, the Royals boast a terrifying top order featuring Yashasvi Jaiswal and young sensation Vaibhav Sooryavanshi, with Jofra Archer back to lead the pace attack.

Riyan Parag had briefly led the side in eight matches last season when Samson was sidelined by injury, managing two wins and six losses before the Royals finished ninth in the standings. A full season at the helm is now on his shoulders.

The Jadeja Factor

Equally compelling is Ravindra Jadeja's return to Rajasthan — the franchise where he began his IPL journey before building his legend at Chennai. CSK are now beginning a new era, stepping out of the shadows of the 'Dad's Army' that delivered five trophies, banking instead on their young talent for inspiration.

In terms of squad balance, RR suffered an additional injury setback after losing Sam Curran for the entire season, making Jadeja's all-round presence all the more critical for Parag's side.

Pitch and Dew Could Decide the Toss

The Barsapara surface is expected to play true and true. Dew could become a significant factor later in the evening — particularly in the second innings — which could influence toss decisions, with captains likely preferring to bowl first.

Humidity levels are expected to touch 87%, and with such high moisture in the air, chasing under lights could become considerably easier as the ball gets wet. That factor alone may tilt the strategic balance heavily toward the side that wins the toss.

Head-to-Head and What's at Stake

The Royals and Super Kings will face off for the 32nd time in IPL history. In the previous 31 encounters, CSK emerged victorious on 16 occasions, while RR have won 15 matches — a rivalry as close as they come.

Both teams are desperate for a strong opening to their respective campaigns. As one team official noted ahead of the game, while it is always good to look at the points table, it is a long tournament — making a strong start matters all the more. With careers, captaincies, and franchises all in transition, tonight's IPL 2026 clash in Guwahati is as much about identity as it is about points.