India is witnessing a prolonged monsoon break in July for the third time in 11 years, raising concerns over rainfall distribution across several states. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), northwestern, central and southern parts of the country are expected to receive below-normal rainfall over the next six to seven days, while heavy rain is likely to continue across the Northeast, Bihar and parts of West Bengal.

The uneven monsoon pattern has resulted in rainfall deficits in several states, even as floods and landslides continue to disrupt normal life in the northeastern region.

Rainfall Deficit Across States

For the first time this July, Madhya Pradesh has recorded below-normal rainfall. The state has received 241.8 mm of rain so far against the seasonal average of 250.1 mm, registering a 3% deficit.

Uttar Pradesh has recorded a more significant shortfall. Between June 1 and July 13, the state received 161.6 mm of rainfall, compared to the normal 199.7 mm, reflecting a 19% deficit.

Meanwhile, Rajasthan witnessed no rainfall during the past 24 hours, with Sri Ganganagar recording the highest maximum temperature of 41.5°C.

Monsoon Shift Brings Heat and Humidity

Meteorologists said the monsoon trough has shifted towards the Himalayan foothills, allowing dry winds to dominate states including Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Delhi.

Although daytime temperatures in many cities are expected to remain between 32°C and 37°C, high humidity levels are likely to push the heat index or "feels-like" temperature to 45°C or higher, making weather conditions increasingly uncomfortable.

Experts explained that elevated humidity slows the evaporation of sweat, reducing the body's ability to cool itself and increasing heat stress.

Heavy Rain Continues in Northeast

While much of central and northwestern India remains dry, heavy rainfall continues to affect Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Bihar, Sikkim and West Bengal, leading to floods and landslides.

In Arunachal Pradesh, 15 Indo-Tibetan Border Police (ITBP) personnel stationed at the Tapa Border Outpost near the Line of Actual Control (LAC) reportedly lost contact after flooding in the Kume River in Kurung Kumey district. Rescue efforts are underway to establish contact with the personnel.

Flood Situation Worsens

In Assam, the Puthi River breached an embankment in Teok, inundating villages, agricultural fields and damaging roads in several areas.

Flood-related disruptions were also reported from Jharkhand, where residents carried a pregnant woman across a flooded river to reach medical care.

In Uttar Pradesh, rising water levels in the Ganga River partially submerged the Dashashwamedh Ghat in Prayagraj, while the Alaknanda River in Uttarakhand witnessed a sharp rise following continuous rainfall in the Himalayan region.

IMD Forecast

The IMD has forecast that rainfall activity is likely to remain subdued across northwestern, central and southern India over the coming week. However, the Northeast and eastern states are expected to continue receiving moderate to heavy rainfall.

Authorities have advised residents in flood-prone areas to remain alert, while people in regions experiencing high humidity have been urged to take precautions against heat-related illnesses.