A fresh political crisis appears to be unfolding within Shiv Sena (UBT) after only three of the party’s nine Lok Sabha MPs attended a crucial parliamentary party meeting in New Delhi. The development has intensified speculation about a possible split within the party, with six MPs reportedly distancing themselves from the Uddhav Thackeray-led faction and moving closer to the Shiv Sena led by Maharashtra Deputy Chief Minister Eknath Shinde.

The meeting, convened under a party whip requiring all MPs to be present, was attended only by Anil Desai, Arvind Sawant, and Rajabhau Waje. Following the meeting, party leaders indicated that disciplinary action could be initiated against those who remained absent.

Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Arvind Sawant said notices would be issued to the MPs who failed to attend the gathering. Meanwhile, Rajya Sabha MP Sanjay Raut alleged that pressure tactics were being used against party lawmakers and claimed that those absent from the meeting had chosen a path contrary to the party's interests.

The political tension escalated further after the Union Home Ministry reportedly directed Maharashtra Police to strengthen Y+ category security cover for the six MPs considered part of the rebel group. According to sources, these MPs submitted a letter to Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla seeking recognition of a separate parliamentary group and a merger with the Shinde faction.

Three Days of Political Turmoil

The controversy began on June 15 when reports surfaced suggesting that six Shiv Sena (UBT) MPs were in contact with leaders from the Shinde camp. The alleged operation, dubbed "Operation Tiger" in political circles, fueled speculation about another major split within the party.

On June 16, Sanjay Raut claimed that attempts were being made to engineer defections through financial inducements. He alleged that offers worth ₹50 crore had been made to MPs to switch allegiance, though no evidence was publicly presented to support the claim.

The following day, leaders from the Shinde faction publicly asserted that six MPs had signed documents seeking to form a separate bloc. Later, Raut, Sawant and Desai met Lok Sabha Speaker Om Birla and urged him not to recognize any merger or separate group without first hearing the Uddhav Thackeray faction.

Anti-Defection Law in Focus

The reported rebellion carries significant legal implications because Shiv Sena (UBT) currently has nine MPs in the Lok Sabha. Under the anti-defection provisions, at least two-thirds of legislators or MPs must support a split to avoid disqualification.

With six MPs constituting exactly two-thirds of the parliamentary party, the rebel group could potentially seek protection under the merger provisions of the law if procedural requirements are fulfilled. Political observers say this legal threshold makes the current developments particularly significant.

The situation has drawn comparisons with the dramatic split of 2022, when Eknath Shinde led a rebellion involving 39 MLAs and eventually formed a separate Shiv Sena faction.

Wider Political Implications

The latest developments come ahead of the upcoming Monsoon Session of Parliament, where political alignments are expected to play a crucial role. Opposition parties have accused the BJP of encouraging defections to strengthen the National Democratic Alliance's numbers in the Lok Sabha.

Congress leader Jairam Ramesh alleged that efforts were being made to weaken opposition parties and move closer to a two-thirds majority required for major constitutional amendments. The BJP has not officially responded to these allegations.

Political analysts believe the outcome of the Shiv Sena (UBT) crisis could influence broader opposition dynamics, particularly as parties prepare for future legislative battles and electoral contests.

For now, all eyes remain on the six absent MPs and the Lok Sabha Speaker's response, which could determine the next chapter in Maharashtra's evolving political landscape.